When a COVID cluster includes people vaccinated against the virus, we inevitably hear rumblings of complaint from people who wonder what the point is of vaccination.
But when you read past the headlines, you usually see the answer: in most cases, those who were vaccinated and contracted. COVID-19 didn’t die, didn’t develop severe symptoms, and didn’t need to be hospitalized.
For unvaccinated Australians in their later years, the chance of dying from COVID is high. For unvaccinated people in their 80s, around 32 percent who contract COVID will die from it. For people in their 70s, it’s around 14 percent. (For unvaccinated people in their 60s, it drops to around three percent. And for under-50s, it’s less than one percent.)
The good news is both Pfizer and AstraZeneca are very effective at preventing severe disease and death from COVID-19, even from the more virulent Delta strain.
So, how effective are our vaccines?
Preliminary data from the United Kingdom shows after your first dose of either Pfizer or AstraZeneca; you’re 33 percent less likely than an unvaccinated person to contract the Delta variant.
Two weeks after your second dose, this rises to 60 percent for AstraZeneca and 88% for Pfizer. This data is for any form of COVID-19, from mild to severe.
But when you look at how much the vaccines reduce your risk of developing severe illness that requires hospitalization, the coverage is high for both. Pfizer and AstraZeneca vaccines are 96 percent and 92 percent effective (respectively) in preventing Delta variant hospitalizations.
Why do some people still get COVID after being vaccinated?
Vaccines aren’t magic barriers. They don’t kill the virus or pathogen they target.
Rather, vaccines stimulate a person’s immune system to create antibodies. These antibodies are specific against the virus or pathogen for the vaccine and allow the body to fight infection before it takes hold and causes severe disease.
However, some people won’t have a strong enough immune response to the vaccine and may still be susceptible to developing COVID-19 if exposed to the virus.
How a person responds to a vaccine is impacted by several host factors, including age, gender, medications, diet, exercise, health, and stress levels.
It’s not easy to tell who hasn’t developed a strong enough immune response to the vaccine. Measuring a person’s immune response to a vaccine is not simple and requires detailed laboratory tests.
And while side effects from the vaccine indicate you have a response, the absence of symptoms doesn’t mean you have a weak response.
It also takes time for the immune system to respond to vaccines and produce antibodies. For most two-shot vaccines, antibody levels rise and then dip after the first dose. These antibodies are then boosted after the second.
But you’re not optimally covered until your antibody levels rise after the second dose.
What does COVID look like after being vaccinated?
The PCR tests we use to detect SARS-CoV-2, the virus that causes COVID-19, are susceptible and can detect a positive case even if you have low virus levels in your system. This means a person can test positive for SARS-CoV-2 but still not have symptoms of COVID-19.
There is always a chance a vaccinated person could pass the virus onto a non-vaccinated person without having symptoms themselves.
But vaccinated people who develop COVID-19 will likely have a lower viral load than unvaccinated people, meaning they’re less likely to spread the virus.
One study estimated that those vaccinated with either Pfizer or AstraZeneca were 50 percent less likely to pass it on to an unvaccinated household contact than someone who wasn’t vaccinated. This transmission will likely reduce again if both household members are vaccinated.
But if you’re not vaccinated and contract COVID-19, you’re much more likely to spread the virus.
What about future variants?
So far, the preliminary data (some of which are ongoing and/or yet to be peer-reviewed) shows our current vaccines are effective at protecting against circulating variants.
But as the virus mutates, there is an increasing chance of viral escape. This means a greater chance the virus will develop mutations that make it fitter against or more easily able to evade vaccinations.
Scientists are closely monitoring to ensure our current and/or future vaccines effectively against the circulating strains.
To help the fight against COVID-19, the best thing we can do is minimize the spread of the virus. This means get vaccinated when you can, ensure you maintain social distancing when required, and get tested if you have any symptoms.